Conf = NEC ------ State = A
Mascot = Colonials ------ Coach = Craig McDonaldGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.9935837 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.2) 2-17 215 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 91.8) 11-17 218 H St Bonnies Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 86.8) 8- 7 222 H Canisius MAAC ( 6-10, 86.9) 9- 7 301 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 5- 9, 89.8) 17- 7 308 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 87.8) 10-13 312 A Penn St B1G (10- 5, 98.3) 8-22 315 A Detroit NEC ( 5- 6, 86.0) 19- 4 322 H Wagner NEC ( 1-13, 83.4) 15- 8 329 H Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-11, 84.1) 17- 8 405 A LIU NEC ( 9- 4, 89.7) 13- 9 412 H VMI NEC (10- 4, 89.2) 15- 9 419 H Cleveland St NEC ( 4-10, 86.0) 14- 4 426 A Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 87.7) 7- 8 507 H Air Force ASUN ( 9- 7, 91.9) 9-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Richmond 2-17 -15 -8 0.00 215 A High Point 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.12 218 H St Bonnies 8- 7 1 4 - -3.34 222 H Canisius 9- 7 2 4 - -2.23 301 H Hobart 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.64 308 A Bellarmine 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.14 312 A Penn St 8-22 -14 -9 0.00 315 A Detroit 19- 4 15 2 ++ 4.02 322 H Wagner 15- 8 7 7 0.00 329 H Mercyhurst 17- 8 9 7 0.00 405 A LIU 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.71 412 H VMI 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99 419 H Cleveland St 14- 4 10 5 1.79 426 A Le Moyne 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.25 507 H Air Force 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bellarmine 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.14 507 H Air Force 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.26 215 A High Point 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.12 218 H St Bonnies 8- 7 1 4 - -3.34 222 H Canisius 9- 7 2 4 - -2.23 426 A Le Moyne 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.25OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Hobart 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.64 315 A Detroit 19- 4 15 2 ++ 4.02 405 A LIU 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.71 412 H VMI 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 90.07 Power Rank................. 51 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.26 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 64 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5519 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 40 RPI Rating............... .5068 RPI Rank................... 37 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 61 Selection sum ........... 108 Selection Rank ............ 35 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 34 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 31 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3