Conf = NEC ------ State = A
Mascot = Colonials ------ Coach = Craig McDonaldGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.8747635 home-field advantage = -1.11 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 4, 97.5) 2-17 215 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 91.8) 11-17 218 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 86.7) 8- 7 222 H Canisius MAAC ( 6-10, 86.8) 9- 7 301 H Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 5- 9, 89.7) 17- 7 308 A Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 87.7) 10-13 312 A Penn State B1G (12- 5, 98.3) 8-22 315 A Detroit Mercy NEC ( 5- 6, 85.8) 19- 4 322 H Wagner NEC ( 1-13, 83.2) 15- 8 329 H Mercyhurst NEC ( 2-11, 84.0) 17- 8 405 A LIU NEC ( 9- 4, 89.5) 13- 9 412 H VMI NEC (10- 4, 89.0) 15- 9 419 H Cleveland State NEC ( 4-10, 85.8) 14- 4 426 A Le Moyne NEC ( 9- 5, 87.6) 7- 8 507 H Air Force ASUN ( 9- 8, 91.7) 9-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Richmond 2-17 -15 -8 0.00 215 A High Point 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.04 218 H St Bonaventure 8- 7 1 4 - -3.33 222 H Canisius 9- 7 2 4 - -2.25 301 H Hobart 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.70 308 A Bellarmine 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.15 312 A Penn State 8-22 -14 -9 0.00 315 A Detroit Mercy 19- 4 15 2 ++ 4.02 322 H Wagner 15- 8 7 7 0.00 329 H Mercyhurst 17- 8 9 7 0.00 405 A LIU 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.70 412 H VMI 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99 419 H Cleveland State 14- 4 10 5 1.78 426 A Le Moyne 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.24 507 H Air Force 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Bellarmine 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.15 507 H Air Force 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.34 215 A High Point 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.04 218 H St Bonaventure 8- 7 1 4 - -3.33 222 H Canisius 9- 7 2 4 - -2.25 426 A Le Moyne 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Hobart 17- 7 10 1 ++ 5.70 315 A Detroit Mercy 19- 4 15 2 ++ 4.02 405 A LIU 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.70 412 H VMI 15- 9 6 2 + 3.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.92 Power Rank................. 51 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.06 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 63 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5508 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 39 RPI Rating............... .5060 RPI Rank................... 37 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 63 Selection sum ........... 108 Selection Rank ............ 36 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 34 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 32 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3